Water Resources Management in Situations of Water Scarcity: Hydrological and Climatic Insights from the Guadalupe Basin
Resumen
The present study examines water resource management in the Guadalupe Basin, Baja California, a Mediterranean semi-arid region characterized by high climatic variability, limited surface water availability, and strong dependence on groundwater. The primary objective of the study was to evaluate the climatic water balance and its implications for groundwater recharge. To this end, a Geographic Information System (GIS) framework was utilized, incorporating hydroclimatic, geomorphological, geological, and vegetation variables. The Thornthwaite–Mather method was employed to analyze the data. The results obtained demonstrate a marked east–west hydroclimatic asymmetry. The high-elevation regions of the Sierra de Juárez exhibit higher precipitation, lower evapotranspiration, and more favorable conditions for recharge, primarily due to infiltration through fractured bedrock and forested soils. Conversely, the lowland valley areas experience persistent water deficits, high evapotranspiration rates, and limited recharge, despite the presence of permeable alluvial sediments. Vegetation has been shown to play a critical role in the regulation of infiltration and soil moisture retention. The basin functions as a tripartite hydrological system, comprising recharge, transition, and storage-limited zones. These findings underscore the vulnerability of groundwater resources to climate change and anthropogenic pressure, underscoring the importance of safeguarding mountain recharge areas to ensure long-term regional water sustainability.
Descargas
Citas
Abbaspour KC, Rouholahnejad E, Vaghefi S, et al (2015) A continental-scale hydrology and water quality model for Europe: Calibration and uncertainty of a high-resolution large-scale SWAT model. J Hydrol (Amst) 524:733–752. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.03.027
Allen, R. G., Pereira, L. S., Raes, D., & Smith, M. (2005). Crop evapotranspiration. FAO Irrigation and Drainage Paper 56. Rome. Food and Agriculture Organization.
Auerswald K, Geist J, Quinton JN, Fiener P (2024) HESS Opinion: Floods and droughts – Land use, soil management, and landscape hydrology are more significant drivers than increasing temperatures. EGUsphere 1–22. https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1702
Burke EJ, Brown SJ (2008) Evaluating uncertainties in the projection of future drought. J Hydrometeorol 9:292–299. https://doi.org/10.1175/2007JHM929.1
Campos Gaytán JR (2008) Simulación del flujo de agua subterránea en el acuífero del Valle de Guadalupe, Baja California, México. Ph. D., Centro de Investigación Científica y de Educación Superior de Ensenada
Comisión Nacional del Agua. (2001). Disponibilidad media anual de agua en México. SEMARNAT.
Comisión Nacional del Agua. (2004). Compendio básico del agua en México. SEMARNAT.
Comisión Nacional del Agua. (2014). Estadísticas del agua en México – Edición 2014.
https://www.conagua.gob.mx/CONAGUA07/Publicaciones/Publicaciones/EAM2014.pdf
Comisión Nacional del Agua. (2014a). Estadísticas del agua en México (Edición 2014). Secretaría de Medio Ambiente y Recursos Naturales.
Daesslé LW, Andrade-Tafoya PD, Lafarga-Moreno J, et al (2020) Groundwater recharge sites and pollution sources in the wine-producing Guadalupe Valley (Mexico): Restrictions and mixing prior to transfer of reclaimed water from the US-México border. Science of the Total Environment 713:136715. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.136715
Daesslé LW, Mendoza-Espinosa LG, Camacho-Ibar VF, et al (2006) The hydrogeochemistry of a heavily used aquifer in the Mexican wine-producing Guadalupe Valley, Baja California. Environmental Geology 51:151–159. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00254-006-0318-x
Díaz-Gutiérrez G, Daesslé LW, Del-Toro-Guerrero FJ, et al (2024) Vulnerability to Aquifer Pollution in the Mexican Wine Producing Valley of Guadalupe, México. Hydrology 11:1–21.
https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology11020016
Dillon, P., Page, D., Vanderzalm, J., Toze, S., Simmons, C., Hose, G., Martin, R., Johnston, K., Higginson, S. & Morris, R. (2020). Lessons from 10 years of experience with Australia’s risk-based guidelines for managed aquifer recharge. Water, 12(2), 537.
https://doi.org/10.3390/w12020537
Droogers P (2000) Estimating actual evapotranspiration using a detailed agro-hydrological model. J Hydrol (Amst) 229:50–58
Droogers, P., & Allen, R. G. (2002). Estimating reference evapotranspiration under inaccurate data conditions. Irrigation and drainage systems, 16(1), 33-45.
Eagleson, P. (2002). Ecohydrology. Cambridge University Press.
Fernández-Mejuto M, Andreu JM, García-Sánchez E, Palencia R (2021) An assessment of groundwater recharge at a regional scale for sustainable resource management: Province of alicante (se spain). Water (Basel) 13:1–23. https://doi.org/10.3390/w13060862
Figueroa-Núñez A, Campos-Gaytán JR (2018) Numerical simulation of the groundwater in the Guadalupe aquifer, Ensenada, baja California, Mexico: case study in steady and transient state conditions. Investig Cienc 75:46–54
García E (1970) Los climas del estado de Veracruz (Según el sistema de clasificación climática de Köppen modificado por la autora). Anales del Instituto de Biología de la Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México 41:3–42
Garcillán PP, Luis J, De L, et al (2013) Plantas no nativas naturalizadas de la Península de Baja California, México. Bot Sci 91:461–475
Gnann, S. J., et al. (2022). Microtopography and runoff generation in semiarid basins. Hydrological Processes, 36, e14612.
González-Barrera, J.E. (2014).Preservación de la biodiversidad y provisión de servicios hidrológicos en la cuenca del Arroyo Guadalupe, tesis COLEF
Guo D, Westra S, Maier HR (2017) Sensitivity of potential evapotranspiration to changes in climate variables for different Australian climatic zones. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 21:2107–2126.
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-2107-2017
He, L., Shen, J., & Zhang, Y. (2018). Ecological vulnerability assessment for ecological conservation and environmental management. Journal of environmental management, 206, 1115-1125.
Hernández-Rosas, M. T., & Mejía-Vázquez, R. (2003). Relación de aguas superficiales y subterráneas del acuífero BC-07, Valle de Guadalupe, Municipio de Ensenada, Baja California. XII Congreso Nacional de Hidráulica. Ensenada, B. C., México: Comisión Nacional del Agua, Gerencia de Aguas Subterráneas, Subgerencia Regional Técnica, Jefatura de Aguas Subterráneas.
Houser T, Hsiang SM, Kopp R, Larsen K, Delgado M, et al. 2015. Economic Risks of Climate Change: An American Prospectus. Columbia University Press
Houze RA (2012) Orographic effects on precipitating clouds. Reviews of Geophysics 50:1–47.
https://doi.org/10.1029/2011RG000365
INEGI (Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía) (2006) Síntesis geográfica de Baja California. Mexico City
INEGI. Compendio de Información Geográfica Municipal 2010; Badiraguato; Instituto Nacional de Estadística y Geografía: Aguascalientes, Mexico
IPCC. (2021). Climate change 2021: The physical science basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press.
Jones, J. C. (2023). Humans are Earth too: Hydrology, stream restoration, and the human side of Earth science (Doctoral dissertation, University of Minnesota).
Jones, J. W., Antle, J. M., Basso, B., Boote, K. J., Conant, R. T., Foster, I., ... & Wheeler, T. R. (2017). Toward a new generation of agricultural system data, models, and knowledge products: State of agricultural systems science. Agricultural systems, 155, 269-288.
Lascano, R. J., & Van Bavel, C. H. M. (2007). Explicit and recursive calculation of potential and actual evapotranspiration. Agronomy Journal, 99, 585–590. https://doi.org/10.2134/agronj2006.0159
Legates, D. R., & Willmott, C. J. (1990). Mean seasonal and spatial variability in gauge-corrected global precipitation. International Journal of Climatology, 10(2), 111–127.
https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.3370100202
Macías-Carranza, V., & Cabello-Pasini, A. (2021). Climatología y evapotranspiración en valles vitivinícolas de Baja California. Revista mexicana de ciencias agrícolas, 12(5), 849-863.
Martínez Austria PF, Díaz-Delgado C, Moeller-Chavez G (2019) Seguridad hídrica en México: diagnóstico general y desafíos principales. Ingeniería del agua 23:107–121.
https://doi.org/10.4995/ia.2019.10502
Molina-Navarro E, Hallack-Alegría M, Martínez-Pérez S, et al (2016) Hydrological modeling and climate change impacts in an agricultural semiarid region. Case study: Guadalupe River basin, Mexico. Agric Water Manag 175:29–42. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2015.10.029
Molina-Navarro, E., et al. (2016). Hydrological functioning of Mediterranean basins. Ecohydrology, 9, 616–628.
Morrone JJ (2019) Biogeographic regionalization and biotic evolution of Mexico: Biodiversity’s crossroads of the New World. Rev Mex Biodivers 90:1–68.
https://doi.org/10.22201/ib.20078706e.2019.90.2980
Myers, T. A., Nisbet, M. C., Maibach, E., & Leiserowitz, A. (2020). A public health frame arouses hopeful emotions about climate change. Climatic Change, 158, 1–20. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02582-0
Orlowsky B, Seneviratne SI (2013) Elusive drought: Uncertainty in observed trends and short-and long-term CMIP5 projections. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 17:1765–1781. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-1765-2013
Pulido-Chávez, M. A., González-Abraham, C. E., Minnich, R. A., & Franco-Vizcaíno, E. (2023). Post-fire vegetation recovery and fuel dynamics in Baja California chaparral ecosystems. Fire Ecology, 19(1), 1–20. https://doi.org/10.1186/s42408-023-00185-9
Riemann H, Ezcurra E (2005) Plant endemism and natural protected areas in the peninsula of Baja California, Mexico. Biol Conserv 122:141–150. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.biocon.2004.07.008
Rockström, J., Steffen, W., Noone, K., Persson, Å., Chapin, F. S., Lambin, E. F., ... & Foley, J. A. (2009). A safe operating space for humanity. nature, 461(7263), 472-475.
Saiz-Rodríguez, J. A., Lomeli Banda, M. A., Salazar-Briones, C., Ruiz-Gibert, J. M., & Mungaray-Moctezuma, A. (2019). Allocation of groundwater recharge zones in a rural and semi-arid region for sustainable water management: case study in Guadalupe Valley, Mexico. Water, 11(8), 1586.
Salgado Tránsito, J. A., Palacios Vélez, O., Galvis Spínola, A., Gavi Reyes, F., & Mejía Sáenz, E. (2012). Water quality effect on the Valle de Guadalupe aquifer in the agricultural soils salinity. Revista mexicana de ciencias agrícolas, 3(1), 79-95.
Sample, I. (2022). Climate change is increasing the likelihood of extreme wildfires, scientists warn. Nature, 611, 450–451. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-022-03516-2
Sánchez-Montoya MM, Vidal-Abarca MR, Puntí T, et al (2009) Defining criteria to select reference sites in Mediterranean streams. Hydrobiologia 619:39–54. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10750-008-9580-0
Scanlon BR, Healy RW, Scanlon BR, et al (2002) Choosing appropriate techniques for quantifying groundwater recharge. Hydrogeol J 10:18–39. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10040-0010176-2
Scanlon, B. R., Reedy, R. C., Faunt, C. C., Pool, D., & Uhlman, K. (2016). Enhancing drought resilience with conjunctive use and managed aquifer recharge in California and Arizona. Environmental Research Letters, 11(3), 035013.
Tarboton, D. G.(2003).Rainfall-runoff processes, 1, Utah State University, available at:
Trenberth KE (2005) The Impact of Climate Change and Variability on Heavy Precipitation, Floods, and Droughts. In: Anderson MG, McDonell JJ (eds) Encyclopedia of Hydrological Sciences. John Wiley & Sons, Ltd, p 11
Trenberth KE (2011) Changes in precipitation with climate change. Clim Res 47:123–138.
https://doi.org/10.3354/cr00953
Trenberth KE (2014) Water cycles and climate change. In: Friedman B (ed) Handbook of Global Environmental Change. Springer Dordrecht, pp 31–37
Valdes-Abellan J, Pardo MA, Jodar-Abellan A, et al (2020) Climate change impact on karstic aquifer hydrodynamics in southern Europe semiarid region using the KAGIS model. Science of the Total Environment 723:138110. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138110
Valdes-Abellan, J. M., Pardo, N., & García-Aróstegui, J. (2020). Groundwater recharge in semiarid basins. Journal of Hydrology, 584, 124–128.
Vörösmarty, C. J., McIntyre, P. B., Gessner, M. O., Dudgeon, D., Prusevich, A., Green, P., ... & Davies, P. (2010). Global threats to human water security and river biodiversity. nature, 467(7315), 555-561.
Viviroli, D., Kummu, M., Meybeck, M., Kallio, M., & Wada, Y. (2020). Increasing dependence of lowland populations on mountain water resources. Nature Sustainability, 3(11), 917-928.
Wada Y, Van Beek LPH, Bierkens MFP (2012) Nonsustainable groundwater sustaining irrigation: A global assessment. Water Resour Res 48:18. https://doi.org/10.1029/2011WR010562
Wang YL, Wang X, Zheng QY, et al (2012) A Comparative Study on Hourly Real Evapotranspiration and Potential Evapotranspiration during Different Vegetation Growth Stages in the Zoige Wetland. Procedia Environ Sci 13:1585–1594. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.proenv.2012.01.150
Wang, D., & Liu, S. (2006). Terrain controls on hydrological response. Journal of Hydrology, 331, 78–88.
Wang, L., & Liu, H. (2006). An efficient method for identifying and filling surface depressions in digital elevation models for hydrologic analysis and modelling. International Journal of Geographical Information Science, 20(2), 193–213. https://doi.org/10.1080/13658810500433453
Wu Y, Zhang X, Shen L (2011) The impact of urbanization policy on land use change: A scenario analysis. Cities 28:147–159. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2010.11.002
Xu, C. Y., & Singh, V. P. (2002). Cross comparison of empirical equations for calculating potential evapotranspiration with data from Switzerland. Water resources management, 16(3), 197-219.
Zuidam, R. V. (1985). Aerial photo-interpretation in terrain analysis and geomorphologic mapping. ITC, Smits Publ., Enschede, The Hague.
Derechos de autor 2026 Marco Antonio García-Zarate , Zayre I. González-Acevedo , Ricardo Eaton-González, Gabriel Rendón-Márquez

Esta obra está bajo licencia internacional Creative Commons Reconocimiento 4.0.









.png)
















.png)
1.png)

